Nikon has tripled the number of pixels in transition from D700 to D800 but as guys at the dpreview pointed out people need the best lenses to get the most from the D800. It means that next step in resolution/number of pixels will be limited by lenses. It is possible to have 24 megapixels on APS-C sensor and get some gain in resolution with prime lens at low iso over 16 mp sensor but the difference is not huge. The D3200 might be a smart move for Nikon to sell the camera based on megapixel and logical replacement for 14 mp sensor but I don't see any reason to change 16 mp camera (D5100) for 24 mp unless the resolution is really the top priority.
It seems that the camera makers essentially made ultimate cameras with APS-C and full frame sensors. At this stage the upgrades probably will be minor. Even now not every D700 owner want to go for D800, and I doubt that there will be mass exodus of Canon users to Nikon because of higher resolution of D800 over the 5DMkIII. I suspect that in couple years there will be a drop in DSLR sales just because people will change the cameras less frequent.
In meantime, the mirrorless system cameras are on the rise...
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